Oil rises amid uncertainty over U.S.-Iran Strait of Hormuz deal

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Published Sun, Aug 9 20269:23 PM EDTUpdated
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Justina Lee@in/justina-lee-2742aa59
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Key Points
  • Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that Tehran is not currently in direct talks with the U.S. to end the war with Iran and open the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Risks remain elevated outside Hormuz too, with Houthi groups in Yemen continuing attacks and threats, according to Citi.
  • “Uncertainty remains high as we go into the sixth month of the Iran war,” Westpac noted.

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This frame grab taken from AFPTV video footage on July 12, 2026 shows a cargo ship anchoring near the Strait of Hormuz off the eastern coast of the United Arab Emirates at Khor Fakkan. Tehran announced it was closing the Strait of Hormuz on July 12 and launched missiles and drones at its Gulf neighbours, in retaliation for new US strikes following an attack by Iranian forces on a merchant vessel that was abandoned in flames by its crew. (Photo by AFPTV / AFP via Getty Images) / Attention editors: AFP covers
 
This frame grab taken from AFPTV video footage on July 12, 2026 shows a cargo ship anchoring near the Strait of Hormuz off the eastern coast of the United Arab Emirates at Khor Fakkan.
- | Afp | Getty Images

Oil rose Monday, as traders continue to assess mixed signals from the U.S. and Iran amid worries that a deal between both countries to open the Strait of Hormuz may not be anytime soon.

Futures for international benchmark Brent crude for October delivery gained 1.04% to $84.42 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures for September advanced 0.83% to $78.83 per barrel.

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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that Tehran is not currently in direct talks with the U.S. to end the war with Iran and open the Strait of Hormuz, while Washington earlier asserted that a deal is near.

In addition, Iran has asked the U.S. for compensation as a condition to reopen the crucial waterway, according to a report by media outlet Independent. The Strait of Hormuz will remain shut until the U.S. meets six conditions, including ending the war and aggression against Iran and its allies, Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr, the head of Iran’s supreme national security council, reportedly said.

However, the U.S. maintains that any reopening must preserve unrestricted freedom of navigation without Iranian approvals, tolls, or controls, disputing key elements of the reported arranged, according to Citi. “Risks remain elevated outside Hormuz too, with Houthi groups in Yemen continuing attacks and threats against Saudi-linked shipping in the Red Sea and around Bab el Mandeb,” it added.

“Uncertainty remains high as we go into the sixth month of the Iran war,” Westpac said in a note. “The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed and the entry of the Yemen Houthis into the fray is interrupting alternative Red Sea supply routes,” it added.

“As of Aug. 9, CENTCOM has redirected 55 commercial vessels, disabled 2, and boarded 2 to ensure compliance,” according to a post on X by U.S. Central Command.