Iran's 5,000 Mines Threaten Strait of Hormuz Oil Traffic

CHOSUM 

Naval mines, missile strikes, and GPS jamming could disrupt global oil shipments, risking price surges and navigational chaos

 
 
Iran warns that any vessel attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz will be burned by the Revolutionary Guard and navy. Ships' positions shown on the ship tracking site VesselFinder on the 2nd reveal almost no vessels within the Strait of Hormuz, while tankers unable to enter the strait cluster densely at the entrance. /VesselFinder
 
Iran warns that any vessel attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz will be burned by the Revolutionary Guard and navy. Ships' positions shown on the ship tracking site VesselFinder on the 2nd reveal almost no vessels within the Strait of Hormuz, while tankers unable to enter the strait cluster densely at the entrance. /VesselFinder

The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps warned on the 2nd that “not a single drop of oil will pass through the Strait of Hormuz,” drawing global attention to whether an actual blockade will occur. If this route, which handles approximately 20% of the world’s maritime crude oil shipments, is blocked, a surge in international oil prices is inevitable. Experts argue that even without a full physical blockade, Iran could achieve practical effects through several threatening military actions. Merely raising concerns about the sinking of super-tankers worth over 100 million USD could prompt shipping companies to voluntarily avoid the strait.

The narrowest part of the Strait of Hormuz is only 33 kilometers wide, forcing large vessels to pass through Iranian territorial waters. If Iran intends to enforce a blockade, the most feasible method would be naval mines. The U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) estimates Iran possessed over 5,000 mines as of 2019. Iran also operates numerous vessels capable of rapidly laying mines and has historical precedent: during the 1980s war with Iraq, it damaged U.S. Navy ships by deploying mines in the same region.

A self-destruct drone made by Iran. /Iranian Army
 
A self-destruct drone made by Iran. /Iranian Army

Direct attacks on vessels using missiles and drones are another option. Similar to how Yemen’s Houthi armed group attacked tankers with missiles since 2023, paralyzing Suez Canal traffic, Iran could conduct small-scale strikes. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has recently seized tankers linked to Britain, Greece, South Korea, and Israel near the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman using helicopters and small high-speed boats.

A new method has also emerged. Following Iran’s electronic warfare drills last month, over 1,100 vessels passing through the Hormuz area experienced GPS jamming and malfunctions in their Automatic Identification Systems (AIS). Ship coordinates appeared dozens of kilometers inland or over nuclear power plants, causing navigational chaos. Without firing a single shot, this approach increases collision risks and raises insurance costs, pressuring shipping companies to steer clear.